>X-Mailer: QUALCOMM Windows Eudora Version 5.0.2
>Date: Wed, 26 Sep 2001 17:43:23 -0700
>To: (Recipient list suppressed)
>From: Len Duhl <len-duhl@socrates.Berkeley.EDU>
>Subject: [issues] Another analysis of Ben LAden strategy
>Reply-To: Len Duhl <len-duhl@socrates.Berkeley.EDU>
>Using my training as a psychiatrist and policy expert , I tried to put
>myself into in Ben Laden's mind. In doing so, I must assume that he has
>an amazingly agile, and brilliant mind. What would he do, to start a
>process, where he does not have to do any more than he did in New York and
>Washington? . Suppose his plan needed only this one strike.
>He would depend upon our response to do all the work. Our response began
>with the chaos, the rescues, and the expected American patriotism and the
>urge to retaliation.
>How he asked he can force us in to a position, where a "domino effect"
>will occur? He assumes that the USA will escalate the issues,
>without wanting to do so. If, he assumes that any military action
>against Ben Laden impacts on Muslims, it will easily escalate into all
>Muslims having total hatred ,where many are still on our side.
>The mounting public opinion among the Muslims and ourselves, will
>ultimately push them into his Jihad.
>In Aikido, the idea is to use the enemy's strength to destroy himself. Do
>not push pack. Let him go towards you, and you use that energy to destroy
>himself. Is this the Ben Laden strategy? We cause our own destruction?
>How can we stop this scenario?
>I have been receiving calls from a friend in Australia, who has worked in
>Afghanistan and Pakistan. He is quite concerned that by enraging Moslems,
>the USA will indirectly, endanger both Australia, and the rest of the
>West. Australia is a few miles from Indonesia, with the largest Muslim
>population in the world. Any military move that hits any Muslims, besides
>Ben Laden, will lead to anti-American and anti-our allies.
>He feels, as I do that we have to be bold, with a Marshall Plan strategy,
>which offer full and total aid to the Pakistanis consisting of food,
>portable radios, clothing, water, medicines and more to help them deal
>with refugees and rebuild. This can be aid, or as a bribe, as we are now
>doing. To be effective, it must be dramatic and done immediately, with a
>major speech, leaflets over Afghanistan, Voice of America broadcasts, and
>the best PR job we can do.
>The main complaint of the Islamic world is that we have ignored them, in
>favor of Israel. The West can understand this as protecting our
>security, but they cant. The anger, at America and the west, as seen on
>CBS' 60 minutes, this evening, suggests that it may beyond the point of
>turning it around. But, we have to try.
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This archive was generated by hypermail 2.0.0 : Thu Sep 27 2001 - 06:25:14 PDT